Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop
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Company makes 3rd cut to renewables organization outlook this year

Reduces both margin and volume outlook

Weaker diesel market hits biofuel costs

(Adds expert, background, information in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)

By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto

HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel company for the third time this year due to falling costs and likewise lowered its anticipated sales volumes, sending the business’s share rate down 10%.

Neste said a drop in the price of regular diesel had affected what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.

A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce sustainable diesel has actually created a supply excess of low-emissions biofuels, hammering profit for refiners and threatening to hamper the nascent market.

Neste in a statement slashed the anticipated typical similar sales margin of its renewables unit to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well below the $600-$800 seen in February.

The business now also expects renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes instead of the 4.4 million it had predicted given that the start of the year, it added.

A part of the volume cut came from the production of sustainable air travel fuel, of which it is now anticipated to sell between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, below in between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste said.

“Renewable items’ prices have been negatively impacted by a considerable decline in (the) diesel rate throughout the third quarter,” Neste stated in a statement.

“At the very same time, waste and residue feedstock costs have actually not decreased and renewable product market value premiums have actually stayed weak,” the business included.

Industry executives and analysts have stated rapidly expanding Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are seeking brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have announced they are pausing growth strategies in Europe.

While the cut in Neste’s assistance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the unfavorable effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel price was to be expected, Inderes expert Petri Gostowski stated.

Neste’s share rate had actually reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but stayed down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki